Baseball is a static game whereas football is dynamic & fluid - thus a single decisive metric does not exist for the beautiful game. Events and their impact are interconnected in complex ways.

Yet there must be a way to quantify on-field events’ value in terms of goals.

Example: We surely know that a red card is bad for a team - but how many goals does a red card cost?

To answer this I analyzed:

-Big five leagues

-12’599 match

-116 datapoints for every used player in every game

-53.2 mio datapoints in total